Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.370778 1.696661 2.124103 2.746192 3.666820 5.051192 7.459220
2025-03-16 0.927584 1.258327 1.760214 2.641358 4.323987 7.932621 18.929546
2025-03-23 0.749544 1.082548 1.643352 2.784268 5.521677 14.178342 79.833559
2025-03-30 0.626045 0.942185 1.513607 2.807944 6.548294 24.013036 877.481426
2025-04-06 0.531622 0.822349 1.373811 2.723062 7.234839 37.897012 NaN
2025-04-13 0.464851 0.735222 1.268860 2.663653 8.000813 63.732770 NaN
2025-04-20 0.435938 0.710716 1.283849 2.932780 10.756351 229.779238 NaN
2025-04-27 0.404693 0.674972 1.263071 3.090614 13.603728 1655.890305 NaN
2025-05-04 0.370265 0.626651 1.200114 3.077359 15.527861 420704.968383 NaN
2025-05-11 0.336082 0.573736 1.114106 2.940058 16.223030 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.315836 0.547075 1.087742 3.018402 19.707939 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.302114 0.532235 1.088267 3.211847 26.409223 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.283557 0.504929 1.051211 3.232334 31.538533 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.262116 0.468876 0.983708 3.079283 32.539329 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.251961 0.457037 0.982052 3.253234 45.374043 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.239194 0.437674 0.954788 3.281897 56.193496 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.224765 0.412976 0.907453 3.175723 60.580830 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.212469 0.392166 0.868657 3.101704 67.276041 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.209247 0.392456 0.894467 3.438105 129.998843 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.203360 0.385652 0.896728 3.636880 232.786799 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.194535 0.370789 0.870189 3.620145 314.089809 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.184155 0.351265 0.825497 3.447244 314.182245 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.178436 0.342902 0.816993 3.545801 576.080503 NaN NaN